AQUEDUCT
Marcas
1)3-2-1 2)7-8-6 3)3-5-2 4)1-3-6 5)1-3-9 6)10-1-3 7)6-2-1 8)8-1-4 9)6-3-1
Base Jugadas
8carr 8 Saratoga Snacks
GULFSTREAM
Marcas
1)2-6-8 2)7-5-2 3)7-2-8 4)5-7-2 5)4-6-7 6)3-12-10 7)1-2-8 8)9-14-11 9)3-8-7 10)4-11-3
Base Jugadas
8carr 9 Nikkis Sandcastle
SANTA ANITA
Marcas
1)3-4-5 2)6-4-5 3)4-3-7 4)2-3-8 5)8-1-2 6)1-2-4 7)8-5-3 8)4-2-8 9)11-7-5
Base Jugadas
8carr 4 Unblidled Note
Gulfstream: Gr. 3 Mr. Prospector Analysis
Photo: Eclipse Sportswire - Aaron Haggart
They say pace makes the race. Well, the Gr. 3 Mr. Prospector Stakes is a classic example of just how true that is. This race is very pace sensitive in my eyes. The difference between cashing and ripping tickets in this event will depend on how right you are in your estimation of the early pace. A single scratch of a key pace player could change the whole complexion of the race. I found this race to be pretty tough, but if we are right, I think we could be rewarded. Let’s take a look at the field…
1. Fort Loudon – I view this guy as a possible pace factor, nothing more. He is stuck on the rail for the 3rd straight race and I do not think he enjoys being down there. I believe he will be sent from the rail and may foil the chances of others, but I just can’t pick him on top. It wouldn’t totally shock me if he won, but I just do not see him getting a great trip. He will have to do it without my backing.
2. Trinni Heart – No way. It would be a complete and total shock if he pulled this off. He is a non-factor in my humble opinion.
3. Star Harbour – The Speed of the speed, I believe. His chances, though, may be hindered by how much pressure he gets up front. I am taking a shot against him in here because I do think he will be bothered by the other speed horses. If I am wrong in that opinion, it’s curtains for me because he very well could wire the field. If any of the frontrunners scratch though, he must be given a hard look again. As of now, I will take a stand against.
4. Upgrade – I gave this one a long, hard look. He may sit a very nice trip 2-3 lengths off the lead. In the end though, I decided I will limit his use to underneath in the exotics. His last race was decent, and he did lose to a fine horse in Bulldozer, but I just couldn’t pick him on top. I can’t blame you if you include him, at 12-1 on the ML, I would never try to talk you off him. I would not be surprised at all if he ran well.
5. Travelin Man – This guy loves Gulfstream, as you can see by his record, but I don’t trust his form right now. This Pletcher trainee will take some money at the windows, but I’m just not so sure he is the same horse he once was. If he wins I will not be shocked, but he will do it without me.
6. Singanothersong – This is the one that intrigues me. I think he is in the best form of his life right now and he may be able to sit a real nice trip. He has the speed to stay close to Star Harbour and press while breaking outside of him. I am hoping for him to put that foe away and still have enough to hold off the stalkers. At 8/1 on the ML, I think this one has a heck of a shot and that now is the time to have him.
7. Apriority – This guy is an old friend of mine. We have had a rocky relationship to say the least. Today, I am hoping he might be able to pay me back for some of the times he has let me down. I liked his last race a lot, and if it gets hot enough up front, I think he will be the one swooping buy to take the cash. He goes 3rd off the layoff here and has been working well for this. I expect a nice effort.
8. Black Diamond Cat – I found this one to be a bit tricky. He had a real tough trip last out while racing between horses pressing a quick pace. He goes out 2nd off the layoff for this and has a right to improve. I am just not so sure he will. At 3/1 on the ML, I am going to stand against him. He does have the ability to pop a big one, but I would insist on a price with this one.
Pace Projection: I see Star Harbour out front with Fort Loudon hounding him from the inside, and Singanothersong on his flank from the outside. I am banking on either Singanothersong putting him away at the top of the lane and holding off the closers, or having Apriority closing best late to swoop by for the win.
The Play: I am going to lean on Singanothersong and Apriority. I will key both in the exacta and Multi-race wagers. I will also ladder Singanothersong across the board.
As always, best of luck everyone. I hope I helped solidify your own opinions or turned you onto a different idea you may not have thought of. Have a winning day, guys.
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